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Dispersion Models
ref|
A dispersion model, denoted Here In many cases, the unit deviance For example, the normal distribution The renormalized saddlepoint approximation for a dispersion model with regular unit deviance where There are two main classes of dispersion models, namely proper dispersion models (
|
for |
provides a further examples of proper dispersion models. This and the simplex distribution are examples of proper dispersion models that are not transformation models when
Exponential dispersion models
Exponential dispersion models are two-parameter extensions of natural exponential families. A natural exponential family has densities of the form
with respect to a suitable measure
The variance of
is
, where
is known as the variance function of the family (7). This function characterizes (7) among all natural exponential families, see for example Morris [20], and
is an important convergence and characterization tool for natural exponential families, see e.g. Jørgensen [13, Ch. 2].
An additive exponential dispersion model is a two-parameter extension of natural exponential families with densities of the form
where the index parameter
A reproductive exponential dispersion model is defined by applying the transformation
to (8), known as the duality transformation. The reproductive form is denoted
, corresponding to densities of the form
for a suitable function
To see the connection with dispersion models as defined by (1), we introduce the unit deviance corresponding to (9),
which is a Kullback-Leibler distance, see Hastie [4]. Defining
![]() |
we may write the density (9) in the dispersion model form (1). Consequently, reproductive exponential dispersion models form a sub-class of dispersion models, whereas additive exponential dispersion models are not in general of the form (9).
The overlap between exponential and proper dispersion models is small; in fact the normal, gamma and inverse Gaussian families are the only examples of exponential dispersion models that are also proper dispersion models.
An additive exponential dispersion model satisfies a convolution formula, defined as follows. If
are independent random variables, and
with
for
, then the distribution of
is
where in fact
An additive exponential dispersion model
gives rise to a stochastic process {
} with stationary and independent increments, called an additive process. This process is defined by assuming that
, along with the following distribution of the increments:
for
A reproductive exponential dispersion model
satisfies the following reproductive property, which follows as a corollary to (11). Assume that
are independent and
for
where
are positive weights such that
for all
. Then, with
,
Tweedie exponential dispersion models
The class of Tweedie models, denoted
consist of reproductive exponential dispersion models corresponding to the unit variance functions
where
is a parameter with domain
and
is defined in Table 2. Here we let
correspond to the variance function
for some
. These models were introduced independently by Tweedie [25], Morris [19], Hougaard [5] and Bar-Lev and Enis [1]. As shown in Table 2, the Tweedie class contains several well-known families of distributions. For
or
the Tweedie models are natural exponential families generated by extreme or positive stable distributions with index
For
the unit deviance of the family
is given by
, |
where
| Distribution family | Support | |||
| Extreme stable exponential family | ||||
| Normal distribution | ||||
| Poisson distribution | ||||
| Compound Poisson distribution | ||||
| Gamma distribution | ||||
| Positive stable exponential family | ||||
| Inverse Gaussian distribution | ||||
| Extreme stable exponential family | ||||
| Notation: |
The Tweedie models are characterized by the following scaling property:
for all
For
, the Tweedie models are compound Poisson distributions, which are continuous non-negative distributions with an atom at zero. Such models are useful for measurements of for example precipitation, where wet periods show positive amounts, while dry periods are recorded as zeros. Similarly, the total claim on an insurance policy over a fixed time interval (Renshaw [22], Jørgensen and Souza [17]), may be either positive if claims were made in the period or zero if no claims were made. Other values of
(except
) correspond to continuous distributions with support either
or
.
Let us apply the inverse duality transformation
to the Tweedie variable
, in order to obtain the additive form of the Tweedie distribution. By the scaling property (13) this gives
, which shows that the Tweedie exponential dispersion models have an additive as well as a reproductive form. The additive form of the Tweedie model gives rise to a class of additive processes
, defined by the following distribution of the increments:
for
Multivariate dispersion models
One way to generalize (1) to the multivariate case is to consider a probability density function of the form
where
A more flexible definition of multivariate dispersion models is obtained by considering models of the form
where
Bibliography
- 1
- Bar-Lev, S.K. and Enis, P. (1986). Reproducibility and natural exponential families with power variance functions. Ann. Statist. 14, 1507-1522.
- 2
- Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Jørgensen, B. (1991). Some parametric models on the simplex. J. Multivariate Anal. 39, 106-116.
- 3
- Fang, K.-T. (1997). Elliptically contoured distributions. In Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Update Vol. 1 (Eds. S. Kotz, C.B. Read and D.L. Banks), pp. 212-218. New York: Wiley.
- 4
- Hastie, T. (1987). A closer look at the deviance. Amer. Statist. 41, 16-20.
- 5
- Hougaard, P. (1986). Survival models for heterogeneous populations derived from stable distributions. Biometrika 73, 387-396.
- 6
- Jensen, J.L. (1981). On the hyperboloid distribution. Scand. J. Statist. 8, 193-206.
- 7
- Jørgensen, B. (1983). Maximum likelihood estimation and large-sample inference for generalized linear and nonlinear regression models. Biometrika 70, 19-28.
- 8
- Jørgensen, B. (1986). Some properties of exponential dispersion models. Scand. J. Statist. 13, 187-197.
- 9
- Jørgensen, B. (1987). Exponential dispersion models (with discussion). J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 49, 127-162.
- 10
- Jørgensen, B. (1987). Small-dispersion asymptotics. Braz. J. Probab. Statist. 1, 59-90.
- 11
- Jørgensen, B. (1992). Exponential dispersion models and extensions: A review. Internat. Statist. Rev. 60, 5-20.
- 12
- Jørgensen, B. (1997). Proper dispersion models (with discussion). Braz. J. Probab. Statist. 11, 89-140.
- 13
- Jørgensen, B. (1997). The Theory of Dispersion Models. London: Chapman & Hall.
- 14
- Jørgensen, B. and Lauritzen, S.L. (2000). Multivariate dispersion models. J. Multivar. Anal. 74, 267-281.
- 15
- Jørgensen, B., Martínez, J.R. and Tsao, M. (1994). Asymptotic behaviour of the variance function. Scand. J. Statist. 21, 223-243.
- 16
- Jørgensen, B. and Rajeswaran, J. (2005). A generalization of Hotelling's
. Communications in Statistics--Theory and Methods 34, 2179-2195. - 17
- Jørgensen, B. and Souza, M.P. (1994). Fitting Tweedie's compound Poisson model to insurance claims data. Scand. Actuarial J.69-93.
- 18
- Lee, M.-L.T. and Whitmore, G.A. (1993). Stochastic processes directed by randomized time. J. Appl. Probab. 30, 302-314.
- 19
- Morris, C.N. (1981). Models for positive data with good convolution properties. Memo no. 8949. California: Rand Corporation.
- 20
- Morris, C.N. (1982). Natural exponential families with quadratic variance functions. Ann. Statist. 10, 65-80.
- 21
- Nelder, J.A. and Wedderburn, R.W.M. (1972). Generalized linear models. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. A 135, 370-384.
- 22
- Renshaw, A.E. (1993). An application of exponential dispersion models in premium rating. Astin Bull. 23, 145-147.
- 23
- Sweeting, T.J. (1981). Scale parameters: A Bayesian treatment. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 43, 333-338.
- 24
- Tweedie, M.C.K. (1947). Functions of a statistical variate with given means, with special reference to Laplacian distributions. Proc. Cambridge Phil. Soc. 49, 41-49.
- 25
- Tweedie, M.C.K. (1984). An index which distinguishes between some important exponential families. In Statistics: Applications and new directions. Proceedings of the Indian Statistical Institute Golden Jubilee International Conference (eds. J.K. Ghosh and J. Roy), pp. 579-604. Calcutta: Indian Statistical Institute.




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